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Red74
47484.1
297444.1
531727.9
Blue161
126160.8
265528.5
34330.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5894015020025030035074161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#50
44.10.9
37.138.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
60.86.1
46.152.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5317
#34
27.90.9
16.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
343
#11
30.86.1
21.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4748
#65
4.10.9
10.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.4
28.56.1
20.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End