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Red121
122545.4
13985.8
264131.6
Blue57
484711.7
407516.4
490217.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673105010015020012157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.44.7
34.839.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
4902
#55
17.81.7
19.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2641
#28
31.64.7
26.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
4075
#52
16.41.6
9.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#64
5.84.7
-0.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4847
#61
11.71.6
8.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End