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Red40
105115.6
348921.2
319627.5
Blue160
490124.6
126160.8
457622.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5196015020025040160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#56
27.51.5
24.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.3
60.85.5
52.257.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3489
#41
21.21.4
19.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4901
#48
24.65.5
18.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1051
#19
15.61.4
13.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
4576
#15
22.95.5
17.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End