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Red153
297444.1
445234.3
90042.4
Blue28
131127.2
129314.7
424310.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11253015020025030015328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#50
44.13.9
38.041.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
1311
#46
27.22.8
28.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
900
#13
42.43.9
34.438.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.7
1293
#49
14.72.6
17.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4452
#33
34.33.9
30.134.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
4243
#39
10.82.6
16.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End