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Semifinal 1-22014 Palmetto Regional
Red147
493520.2
382461.7
126160.8
Blue162
90042.4
131127.2
122545.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147106050200250300147162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#1
61.70.1
61.0→61.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.3
1225
#5
45.41.1
44.6→45.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1261
#4
60.80.1
60.1→60.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.4
900
#13
42.41.1
41.6→42.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4935
#57
20.20.1
19.6→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.0
1311
#46
27.21.1
26.5→27.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—