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Semifinal 1-32014 Palmetto Regional
Red106
382461.7
126160.8
493520.2
Blue101
131127.2
122545.4
90042.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147110050200250300106101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#1
61.70.8
61.1→60.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.3
1225
#5
45.40.3
45.7→45.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1261
#4
60.80.8
60.3→59.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.4
900
#13
42.40.3
42.7→42.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4935
#57
20.20.8
19.7→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.0
1311
#46
27.20.3
27.6→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—