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Red112
239353.4
146622.6
382474.3
Blue193
349230.0
34231.4
28146.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16394050200250300112193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
74.30.7
74.974.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
281
#11
46.81.5
45.847.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.40.7
54.253.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
342
#23
31.41.5
30.431.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1466
#16
22.60.7
23.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
3492
#10
30.01.6
28.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End