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Quarterfinal 2-12014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red110
450421.9
402051.6
348943.0
Blue146
500517.5
384446.4
93144.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122106050150200250300110146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#13
51.60.2
52.5→52.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
3844
#5
46.40.7
46.7→47.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3489
#4
43.00.2
43.9→43.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
931
#18
44.20.6
44.4→45.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4504
#27
21.90.2
22.8→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
5005
#15
17.50.7
17.7→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—