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Quarterfinal 3-22014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red28
502212.9
500224.3
446233.0
Blue32
367522.5
319618.2
325924.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77680501001502002503002832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#9
33.00.9
34.8→33.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.9
3259
#8
24.10.7
25.7→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5002
#2
24.30.8
25.9→25.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
3675
#33
22.50.7
24.1→23.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5022
#38
12.90.9
14.7→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
3196
#24
18.20.6
19.6→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—