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Quarterfinal 3-32014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red36
502212.9
500224.3
446233.0
Blue17
325924.1
367522.5
319618.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660501001502002503003617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#9
33.00.7
33.9→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.9
3259
#8
24.10.9
25.0→24.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5002
#2
24.30.6
25.1→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
3675
#33
22.50.9
23.4→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5022
#38
12.90.7
13.8→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
3196
#24
18.20.8
19.0→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—