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Red127
426565.5
384317.7
261452.8
Blue111
351625.7
314020.9
457631.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14166050100200250300127111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.0
63.263.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.4
4576
#20
31.10.6
31.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.80.0
50.850.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
25.70.6
25.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3843
#31
17.70.0
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3140
#14
20.90.6
20.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End