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Quarterfinal 4-22014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red141
384317.7
426565.5
261452.8
Blue46
314020.9
351625.7
457631.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416805010020025030014146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#7
65.50.2
63.2→63.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 34.4
4576
#20
31.10.6
31.6→31.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2614
#3
52.80.2
50.7→50.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.1
3516
#6
25.70.6
26.3→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3843
#31
17.70.2
15.6→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
3140
#14
20.90.6
21.4→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—