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Red26
43968.6
448912.5
146622.6
Blue43
319618.2
49127.3
349230.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41640501001502643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#16
22.61.5
18.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
3492
#10
30.01.4
24.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4489
#34
12.51.0
13.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3196
#24
18.21.1
23.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4396
#49
8.61.5
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4912
#44
7.31.4
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End