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Qual 212014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red38
500517.5
457631.1
504516.8
Blue7
285613.4
38295.5
40988.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6639050100150200387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
#20
31.11.3
23.0→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.7
2856
#37
13.43.0
18.2→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5005
#15
17.52.0
13.5→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
4098
#46
8.53.0
13.3→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5045
#35
16.82.0
25.5→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.3
3829
#43
5.53.0
11.3→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—