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Qual 302014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red120
348943.0
384317.7
474014.6
Blue110
239353.4
426423.3
124926.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778150100150120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#4
43.02.0
34.5→36.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.4
2393
#1
53.42.6
32.9→35.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3843
#31
17.73.4
17.9→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
1249
#41
26.12.6
29.3→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4740
#29
14.63.4
26.8→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.7
4264
#19
23.32.6
16.4→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—