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Qual 312014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red6
385616.7
518621.1
39843.8
Blue137
457631.1
297333.7
502212.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801001201406137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5186
#26
21.13.0
20.7→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
2973
#17
33.77.2
19.6→26.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3856
#48
16.73.0
12.6→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.4
4576
#20
31.14.3
21.7→26.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3984
#42
3.83.0
8.8→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.1
5022
#38
12.97.2
9.2→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—