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Red1
474014.6
40988.5
518621.1
Blue73
146622.6
349230.0
351625.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56590204080100120173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5186
#26
21.14.6
17.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
3492
#10
30.01.2
26.828.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4740
#29
14.64.6
28.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
25.70.7
20.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4098
#46
8.54.6
11.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1466
#16
22.61.2
12.013.1
Auto
Teleop
End