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Qual 442014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red17
396624.5
39727.9
498917.5
Blue27
54712.4
504516.8
38295.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484601002003004005006007001727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#21
24.52.6
33.2→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.7
5045
#35
16.81.6
26.9→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4989
#32
17.52.6
9.0→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
547
#28
12.41.6
13.2→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3972
#36
7.92.6
5.5→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
3829
#43
5.51.6
6.0→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—