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Red11
492415.8
503413.4
386111.2
Blue63
367522.5
426423.3
500517.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354701001502001163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4924
#30
15.82.0
13.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
4264
#19
23.31.4
19.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5034
#47
13.42.0
13.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
3675
#33
22.51.4
18.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3861
#22
11.22.0
8.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
5005
#15
17.51.4
6.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End