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Red30
297333.7
396624.5
365113.9
Blue181
34231.4
261452.8
382474.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58155010020025030030181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2973
#17
33.73.3
30.226.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.6
3824
#12
74.32.1
65.867.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3966
#21
24.53.3
27.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
52.82.1
47.149.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3651
#39
13.93.3
15.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
342
#23
31.42.1
26.728.8
Auto
Teleop
End