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Qual 722014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red82
365113.9
40259.9
367522.5
Blue121
28146.8
261452.8
54712.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2811005015020025082121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3675
#33
22.53.0
20.0→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 30.3
2614
#3
52.81.2
49.1→50.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3651
#39
13.93.0
12.0→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 32.9
281
#11
46.81.2
40.8→41.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4025
#45
9.93.0
8.4→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
547
#28
12.41.7
7.3→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—