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Red59
503413.4
396624.5
504516.8
Blue106
146622.6
93144.2
502212.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4982010015020025059106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#21
24.50.3
24.024.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
931
#18
44.21.5
43.544.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5045
#35
16.80.3
18.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1466
#16
22.62.1
20.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5034
#47
13.40.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
5022
#38
12.92.1
12.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End