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Qual 742014 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red110
285613.4
426565.5
498917.5
Blue117
518621.1
311615.8
351625.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88400150200250110117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#7
65.52.2
58.4→60.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 39.8
3516
#6
25.73.5
20.4→23.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4989
#32
17.52.0
13.7→15.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.6
5186
#26
21.15.0
14.8→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2856
#37
13.42.2
8.1→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
3116
#40
15.84.6
12.4→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—