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Red14
164212.1
33554.6
280513.1
Blue195
527219.3
436431.5
300537.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5539010015014195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#45
13.12.4
21.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
3005
#25
37.012.8
14.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1642
#37
12.12.4
13.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.4
4364
#31
31.512.8
13.025.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3355
#42
4.63.2
17.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
5272
#35
19.37.5
19.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End