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Red52
331034.5
45896.1
258725.3
Blue205
45732.5
35984.6
420619.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111005015020025052205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#26
34.52.8
34.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 50.1
359
#5
84.66.1
76.082.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2587
#34
25.32.8
32.529.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
457
#19
32.56.1
25.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4589
#30
6.12.8
18.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
4206
#23
19.75.0
3.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End