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Red200
505728.0
14885.6
367629.9
Blue123
33709.6
23143.6
181772.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84115050100150200250200123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
85.66.2
55.261.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
72.70.6
60.761.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3676
#27
29.99.3
19.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
231
#6
43.60.8
32.833.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28.06.4
29.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
3370
#40
9.61.0
16.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End