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Red15
27476.2
304315.6
278911.3
Blue117
380229.3
284851.5
295029.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296205010015020015117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3043
#28
15.61.6
11.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.9
51.55.0
30.035.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2789
#11
11.31.2
10.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
2950
#13
29.65.0
15.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2747
#41
6.21.6
12.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.1
3802
#15
29.33.7
11.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End