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Qual 452014 Dallas Regional
Red145
35984.6
278911.3
380229.3
Blue57
464119.2
419213.6
147747.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116985015020014557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
84.61.6
85.2→86.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 37.4
1477
#21
47.23.7
61.9→58.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3802
#15
29.31.6
18.6→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
4641
#32
19.23.7
22.2→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2789
#11
11.31.6
9.2→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
4192
#44
13.63.7
16.7→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—