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Red170
420619.7
331034.5
328228.7
Blue20
521228.0
399713.8
280513.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7151010015020017020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#26
34.58.5
35.644.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
5212
#16
28.02.8
17.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3282
#18
28.78.5
19.027.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
3997
#43
13.82.8
21.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4206
#23
19.75.1
12.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2805
#45
13.11.7
15.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End