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Red132
331034.5
181772.7
164212.1
Blue131
147747.2
304315.6
186045.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13393050150200250300132131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.3
76.576.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
1477
#21
47.21.9
47.249.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
#26
34.50.3
37.137.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
45.51.9
37.239.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1642
#37
12.10.3
13.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3043
#28
15.61.9
15.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End