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Red123
367629.9
348126.7
521228.0
Blue195
406347.0
284851.5
278911.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75107050150200250123195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#27
29.92.6
28.631.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
51.55.7
48.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5212
#16
28.02.6
24.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
4063
#10
47.04.6
43.948.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#22
26.72.2
26.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
2789
#11
11.34.6
9.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End