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Red37
304315.6
367629.9
164212.1
Blue121
70448.5
420619.7
435416.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5783010015020037121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#27
29.91.4
31.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
704
#8
48.52.1
46.949.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3043
#28
15.61.4
17.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
4206
#23
19.72.1
18.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1642
#37
12.11.2
13.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
4354
#38
16.72.3
14.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End