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Red55
348126.7
45732.5
331034.5
Blue58
384737.5
295029.6
33554.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105700501502005558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#26
34.52.5
37.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3847
#14
37.51.0
38.937.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
#19
32.52.2
33.231.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2950
#13
29.61.0
31.030.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#22
26.72.2
28.726.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
3355
#42
4.61.0
5.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End