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Quarterfinal 2-22014 Lone Star Regional
Red183
458740.9
384759.4
288136.6
Blue112
333538.8
348136.6
310335.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010750150200250183112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#5
59.40.9
56.0→56.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.6
3335
#12
38.80.0
38.8→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4587
#11
40.90.9
37.5→38.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
3481
#32
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2881
#39
36.60.9
33.2→34.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
3103
#6
35.30.0
35.3→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—