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Semifinal 2-12014 Lone Star Regional
Red275
399728.8
62479.3
147776.8
Blue118
399924.7
23157.6
284857.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187137050100250300350400275118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#14
79.31.6
77.5→79.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.7
231
#3
57.60.4
59.4→59.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1477
#2
76.81.6
74.9→76.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.7
2848
#20
57.10.4
58.9→58.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3997
#10
28.81.6
27.0→28.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
3999
#37
24.70.4
26.5→26.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—