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Quarterfinal 2-12014 Lone Star Regional
Red207
384759.4
288136.6
458740.9
Blue132
348136.6
310335.3
333538.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510750150200250207132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#5
59.41.4
54.5→56.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.6
3335
#12
38.80.4
38.4→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4587
#11
40.91.4
36.1→37.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
3481
#32
36.60.4
36.2→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2881
#39
36.61.4
31.8→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
3103
#6
35.30.4
34.9→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—