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Red315
258528.8
118108.1
14898.1
Blue170
458740.9
288136.6
384759.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2551130200300400315170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
108.11.4
107.4108.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 48.7
59.40.6
58.859.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#1
98.11.4
97.498.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 57.2
4587
#11
40.90.6
40.440.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2585
#44
28.81.7
27.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
2881
#39
36.60.6
36.036.6
Auto
Teleop
End