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Red127
181760.7
532018.5
246857.7
Blue107
406327.7
415340.8
180123.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14980050100200250300127107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.2
61.160.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4153
#10
40.80.3
40.540.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57.70.2
58.157.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.0
4063
#15
27.70.3
27.427.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5320
#28
18.50.2
18.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1801
#23
23.30.3
23.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End