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Red132
246857.7
532018.5
181760.7
Blue133
415340.8
406327.7
180123.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14881050100200250300132133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.70.1
60.960.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4153
#10
40.80.7
40.841.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57.70.1
57.957.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.0
4063
#15
27.70.7
27.728.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5320
#28
18.50.1
18.718.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1801
#23
23.30.7
23.324.0
Auto
Teleop
End