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Red81
142930.5
42988.1
349728.8
Blue111
532018.5
297227.2
243948.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6166010015020025030081111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1429
#12
30.51.6
36.037.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
48.33.8
28.231.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3497
#22
28.81.6
21.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2972
#17
27.23.8
27.331.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4298
#34
8.11.6
4.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
5320
#28
18.53.8
10.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End