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Red131
350718.1
24541.0
246857.7
Blue64
485218.5
530232.8
246110.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13250010015020025013164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.6
49.850.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
5302
#14
32.80.1
18.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
#21
41.01.0
46.047.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
4852
#30
18.50.1
14.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3507
#13
18.11.0
23.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
2461
#19
10.30.1
30.330.4
Auto
Teleop
End