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Red41
418330.2
406327.7
471711.6
Blue61
116426.9
430116.9
458724.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544001001504161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#26
30.20.9
17.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
26.91.6
13.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4063
#15
27.70.5
20.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
24.11.6
19.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4717
#29
11.60.9
13.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4301
#18
16.91.6
9.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End