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Red132
181760.7
415340.8
485324.3
Blue35
277330.1
291421.5
504724.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657105010015020013235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.75.5
25.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.6
2773
#20
30.12.9
24.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4153
#10
40.85.5
31.737.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
5047
#24
24.12.9
13.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4853
#36
24.35.5
9.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2914
#27
21.52.9
32.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End