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Red40
341713.7
265729.3
410214.6
Blue124
362629.8
530422.5
374131.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5252405060708010040124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.0
20.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
31.86.0
18.724.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4102
#37
14.61.0
14.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
29.86.0
16.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3417
#31
13.71.0
17.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
5304
#33
22.56.0
16.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End