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Red50
291421.5
479910.6
410214.6
Blue56
19242.4
42988.1
246110.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447201001502005056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#27
21.50.1
29.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
192
#9
42.40.9
30.829.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4102
#37
14.60.1
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2461
#19
10.30.9
30.429.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4799
#39
10.60.1
5.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4298
#34
8.10.9
6.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End