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Red30
532018.5
530422.5
180123.3
Blue136
485218.5
457011.5
471711.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612705010015020030136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1801
#23
23.32.1
19.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4852
#30
18.58.6
14.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5304
#33
22.52.1
22.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
4717
#29
11.68.6
12.821.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5320
#28
18.52.1
14.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4570
#40
11.58.6
4.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End