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Red40
24541.0
473411.9
341713.7
Blue205
418330.2
485324.3
261329.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7650010015020040205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#21
41.02.6
42.840.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
4183
#26
30.212.6
17.129.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3417
#31
13.72.6
12.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
2613
#16
29.712.6
25.437.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4734
#35
11.92.6
16.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
4853
#36
24.312.6
11.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End