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Red6
457011.5
430116.9
479816.4
Blue75
142930.5
479910.6
530232.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2770050100150675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#18
16.92.4
7.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
5302
#14
32.80.9
25.626.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4798
#38
16.42.4
10.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1429
#12
30.50.9
32.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4570
#40
11.52.4
16.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4799
#39
10.60.9
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End