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Red66
485324.3
479816.4
410214.6
Blue102
374131.8
116426.9
42988.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366905010015020025030066102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4853
#36
24.32.1
24.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
31.83.2
33.336.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4798
#38
16.42.1
7.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
26.93.2
22.025.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4102
#37
14.62.1
8.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4298
#34
8.13.2
8.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End