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Red56
341713.7
418330.2
458724.1
Blue102
265729.3
415340.8
479910.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867020408010012014016056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#26
30.20.9
29.728.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
4153
#10
40.82.8
38.641.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.10.9
27.526.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
29.32.8
23.426.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3417
#31
13.70.9
9.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4799
#39
10.62.8
6.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End